Now is NOT the time to lose your nerve.

With the amount of weekends left between now and the inevitable General Election, David Cameron & his team can't afford another weekend like the one we've just had.

The opinion polls have, for some time now, been indicating a moderate Conservative majority. This weekend, however, saw Labour pull back the deficit quite considerably, indicating a hung Parliament. There were three polls, so to dismiss them as rogue (as I did) would be a mistake.

They came in the wake of the news that Britain is technically out of recession, so a "Brown Bounce" was always going to be on the cards. The "Electorate At Large" didn't hear the message that it was at 0.1%, or that it was stimulated by temporary stimuli ending this quarter (V.A.T. reduction and Vehicle Scrappage Scheme). They just heard the good news and desperately clung to it.

It should have been a good week for the Conservatives. They sent a team to Davos where they would normally expect some decent coverage in the Media. Chilcot was all over the News. Combined with some strong policy announcements it would have been reasonable to expect the Conservative lead maintained, or even extended.

The reaction to the poor polling was the Conservatives' worst for quite some time. We saw the economic message watered down. When the "immediate cuts" announcement was made there was a positive effect on the polls. There was no need for this weekend's "clarification". Without detail it was pointless and gave Labour an open goal.

Then we had David Cameron talking about denying burglars their human rights. This was a monumentally stupid error that will haunt him from now until Polling Day. He phrased what he wanted to say very badly. His previous rhetoric about defending your home resonated well, contributing to his poll lead. This was the same policy blown apart by an uncharacteristic loss of judgement.

The polls have shown such a strong lead because the Electorate have had enough of a Government continually courting popularity rather than the right thing to do. They have been giving the Conservatives the benefit of the doubt on this. As soon as they suspect that the Conservatives are doing the same thing they will lose any reason to vote for them.

We as a Country need a Prime Minister who leads based on what he genuinely believes. Not being led by opinion polls.